Los Angeles, CA, September 29, 2016 /PressReleasePing/ -- This morning, the O'Leary Report released a number of spot polls that the national media ignores. The national polls clearly says that Hillary Clinton was a major winner. Spot polls tell a different story. Spot polls and focus groups are a little harder to analyze, but they tell a clear story - that Trump scored a decisive victory.
We can only find two media-related focus groups. One took place in Pennsylvania sponsored by the Pittsburgh Gazette. Clearly, Hillary Clinton lost ground among the independents and Democrats who were watching. The second focus group was in North Carolina sponsored by the Charlotte Observer. Unlike Pennsylvania, it did not show Trump gaining ground, but it showed Hillary Clinton losing ground. Governor Johnson was the winner with a couple of Clinton donors saying they were now supporting him.
Three polls that are indicative of Republican precincts are The Drudge Report, Washington Times and Breitbart. In The Drudge Report, readers chose Trump 81% to 18% for Clinton. In the Washington Times, the poll showed Trump won 71% to Clinton's 22%, with 35,000 people responding. In Breitbart, with 168,000 people responding, Trump took 76% to Clinton's 24%. Clearly, these three polls indicate that by election day, Trump is likely to have all the Republican votes he needs with the exception of philosophical whiners who can't believe he's not using their philosophy.
There are spot polls that, before the debate, no political pro would have guessed Trump could carry. The first one was Slate, the ultra-liberal news magazine that never met a Republican it couldn't hate. They showed Trump carrying the debate 54% to Clinton's 45%. 42,000 Slate readers took the poll.
In another Democratic precinct, CBS Manhattan TV, 41,000 people took a poll and declared Trump the winner with 59% in support to Clinton's 41%. No Democratic consultant would have guessed that result. On Pix11, also in New York, Trump carried 55% to 42% for Hillary Clinton.
Spot polls from magazines are likely to tell us what independents might do. Time magazine, which leans to the left, had 409,000 votes on their online poll. 58% voted for Trump and 42% for Clinton. Fortune Magazine had 434,000 people voting in their poll. 51% voted for Trump versus 49% for Clinton, indicating that the thinking of Republican billionaires have not infected the overall business community.
Around the country, a few newspaper and television stations did try to poll the people. In addition to Pittsburgh Gazette and the Charlotte Observer, Cincinnati television station nine had almost 4,000 voters. 60% voted for Trump and 35% voted for Clinton. Newjersey.com had 93,000 voters on their online poll, with 4,000 saying either neither or no one. With headline stories on the bridge closure, Trump carried the poll 53 to 42%. Channel two in Nashville, TN had 10,679 voters with Trump carrying it 63% to Hillary's 36%.
On Michigan Live, which is a television station, Trump carried 52% to Clinton's 47% with 22,000 people responding. In a highly Democratic area, Trump carried over Clinton 81% to 19% at the Las Vegas Sun. In the Denver Post's online poll, Trump also carried the poll 55% to 45%. However, on the website arkansasonline.com, Clinton won the poll ^^% to 34%, but only 102 people voted.
In Pennsylvania, two local newspapers let polls of their own. The Johnstown Tribune-Democrat found that Trump won the debate 59% to 41% with 185 people responding. In Williamsburg's Sun-Gazette, Trump won with 36% to Clinton's 30%. In this poll, many people were undecided or felt neither won.
The individual polls of likely precincts are hard to come by, so if you can find any, send it to me at bradoleary@aol.com and we'll run it in our daily blog TheOLearyReport.com.
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